It is only few weeks after the Presidential Election.According to oppostion coalition as well as individual's like Wikramabahu Karunarathne & Sirithunga Jayasuriya,it is a corrupted election and results are made up results.The incidents which occured after election day as well as the massive differnce of around 1,800,000 had created doughts not only in General SF supporters but also in most MR supporters too.
But any how Mahinda Rajapakse is the elected leader(again maharaja!)and he is the president for another (around) 7 years unless somthing happened to him.The upcoming parlimentary election is very likely to win by the UPFA coalition but will not get a large majority.
The oppostion is still has a good chance to get as much seats as possible in parliment and even not allowing UPFA to get majority in parliment,if they work hard.
It is likely that oppostion coalition will contest together under swann symbol but TNA will contest along.It is the only way that the oppostion can have a chance of giving a good fight to the UPFA.If UNF contest along,it is likely to get very few seats mainly due to Ranil factor(Who is very unpopular in South Part of Sri Lanka).Also JVP will not be able to get at least 10 seats if they contest along.
Also the oppostion party leaders should take undated resignation letters from all those who contest from their parties to avaoid (if any) crossing over to government side once they are elected.
With in UPFA their will be definitly a fights for preferential votes between it's own candidates specially in areas like Kaluthara,Galle,Matara and Kurunegala.(Colombo too will have but not that much).This is mainly due to MP's crossed over to UPFA from UNP up to now.
If we take Kaluthara as an example,see the number of head to head contesters of UPFA who are now parlimenterians:Rohitha Abaygunawardena,Mahinda Samarasinghe(Crossed Over),Rajitha Senarathene(Crossed Over),Kumara Welgama,Nirmala Kottalalawala,Nandana Gunathileke,Piyasiri Wijeynayake,Reginold Koorey(Likely to cotest)and Athuraliye Rathana Thero(9 already here).Also the new faces too will try to enter the parliment.The Kaluthara Electorate has only 10 seats.So maximun the UPFA can get is 6-7.
So we have to wait and see if the government can maintain the same amount of votes they secured in Presidential election.
See the following to get a general idea about who got voted in 2004 to parliment:
(Note: If you want to see other district results,select links from bottm of that link page.eg:Colombo,Matara,Galle etc..).
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